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Why Mortgage Rates Haven’t Budged During the Government Shutdown

No news = no big moves. Here’s why rates are staying steady (for now), and what it means for you.

With all the recent headlines about the government shutdown, you might be wondering: Why haven’t mortgage rates changed much?

The answer is surprisingly simple: Wall Street has no new economic data to react to. And when there’s no new data, there’s no reason for rates to move much.

Here’s what’s going on — and what it means for you:

No Jobs Reports = No Rate Swings

  • Over the past few months, job numbers have been the biggest driver of mortgage rate movement.
  • But with the government shutdown, agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics aren’t releasing their usual reports.
  • No reports = no reaction from investors = mortgage rates stay put.

Inflation is Cooling Too

  • Inflation has already slowed down this year.
  • Without fresh inflation or jobs data, investors are mostly staying on the sidelines.
  • That’s why mortgage rates have been surprisingly stable the last few weeks — even while everything else feels uncertain.

What Happens When the Shutdown Ends?

Once the government reopens, delayed job numbers will be released — and they could include furloughed workers.

That means the next reports might be messy or confusing, which could cause rates to bounce around again.

Bottom Line:

For now, we’re seeing a rare moment of calm in what’s usually a very up-and-down mortgage market.

💡 If you or someone you know has been waiting for the “right time” to get pre-approved or revisit a loan scenario, now’s a great window to do it.

Rates are steady, inventory is growing, and we don’t expect this calm to last forever.

Need help running the numbers?
Call us at (830) 402-4284 — we’ll make sure you’re in the best position when the market starts moving again.

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